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Use these insights to help determine whether your retirement plan is on the right track
ASK THREE FINANCIAL EXPERTS how much you need to save for retirement, and you might get three different answers: a specific number, say $1 million; a figure based on future spending, such as enough to draw down 80% to 90% of your pre-retirement income every year; or a simple formula, like saving 12 times your pre-retirement salary. But what's right for you? And how do you know you're on track?
"Because there are so many variables, even the retirement researchers can't agree on a total dollar amount," says Ben Storey, director of Retirement Research & Insights at Bank of America. "What each person needs will vary based on a number of factors." These factors include your current age; the age at which you plan to retire or could be forced to retire due to health, the loss of a job, or other circ*mstances beyond your control; how long you expect to live, based on family history; how much you plan to spend in retirement; and what your sources of retirement income will be.
Why no single retirement target covers everyone
"Tempting as it is to put a single number on retirement, the answer to how much you'll need to save really depends on the life you expect to lead," says Debra Greenberg, director, Personal Retirement Product Management, Bank of America. "For some people, $1 million in savings may be plenty; others might need more — or less."
As a useful starting point, the chart below shows how much someone making $40,000 to $100,000 annually should have saved, depending on their age, if they hope to replace 39% of their pre-tax income with retirement savings. If that's your goal, for example, you should aim to have 2.4 times your salary saved by the time you reach ages 36 to 40, according to Bank of America's Financial Wellness Tracker.Footnote1
How much should you be saving for retirement?
Consider using the following savings multiples from Bank of America's Financial Wellness Tracker as guidance for replacing your income in retirement:
Chart illustrating what multiple of your salary you should have saved for retirement by certain ages. Click on the link below for a full description. At ages 18 to 25, you should have saved 0.2 times your current salary. At ages 26 to 30, you should have saved 0.9 times your current salary. At ages 31 to 35, you should have saved 1.6 times your current salary. At ages 36 to 40, you should have saved 2.4 times your current salary. At ages 41 to 45, you should have saved 3.4 times your current salary. At ages 46 to 50, you should have saved 4.6 times your current salary. At ages 51 to 55, you should have saved 6.0 times your current salary. At ages 56 to 60, you should have saved 7.6 times your current salary. At ages 61 to 64, you should have saved 9.2 times your current salary.
Source: Chief Investment Office and Bank of America Retirement & Personal Wealth Solutions, "Financial Wellness: Helping improve the financial lives of your employees," 2023. Note: Calculations are based on obtaining 39% of income replacement from retirement savings (pre-tax) for middle-income households of $40,000 to $100,000 annually.
Just how big your nest egg should be and how long it might last will depend not only on what you save and invest, but also how you plan to spend money once you retire. Do you plan to work part time in retirement? Travel a lot? At what age do you plan to retire? Answers to all these questions will help you figure out how large a nest egg you may need to live the life you want in retirement. And don't forget to factor in inflation and future market conditions.
Will your savings be enough for the retirement income you'll need?
You may be surprised how much — or how little — even generously sized accounts could potentially provide over the course of a retirement. The examples below illustrate how much a 65-year-old can safely withdraw in the first year of retirement.
Savings value
at age 65
Annual income
from savings*
Savings value at age 65 is$300,000
Annual income from savings, see footnote asterisk, is$12,000/year
Savings value at age 65 is$1,000,000
Annual income from savings, see footnote asterisk, is$40,000/year
Savings value at age 65 is$1,500,000
Annual income from savings, see footnote asterisk, is$60,000/year
Footnote* The accumulated investment savings by age 65 could provide an annual retirement income, adjusted for future inflation (in today's dollars), of this amount for life if withdrawn at a sustained spending rate of 4%. This example is for illustrative purposes only as the amount in hand will differ due to the tax implications if the assets are held in a pre-tax or post-tax account (or a combination of both), as well as due to an individual's personal circ*mstances.
Source: Chief Investment Office, January 2022 (PDF). Illustration is for hypothetical purposes only.
The potential impact of taxes also plays a role. Saving money in a pre-tax account such as a traditional 401(k) plan is very different than saving in a Roth IRA, funded by after-tax dollars, due to the tax treatment at the time of distribution. Understanding the key differences between IRAs is critical when planning for retirement.
Start by calculating your future expenses
"Having a specific percentage or dollar amount savings goal can be helpful, but you can't be focused solely on that," Storey says. "Everybody's lifestyle is different and how they spend their retirement may be very different as well." He suggests trying to create a ballpark annual estimate based on what you live on now and how your expenses might change when you retire.
Remember, although some costs — such as healthcare — may increase in retirement, there could be savings elsewhere. "Researchers have found that retirees spend more time shopping carefully and preparing meals at home, for example. Their cost of living for items such as these goes down," Storey says.
A recent study by the RAND Corporation research institute found that overall spending drops throughout retirement — and that smaller pie gets cut up differently. For high-income retirees, average out-of-pocket spending on healthcare rises from 9% to 10% of household budgets from ages 65 to 69 to 14% after age 80. Travel, on the other hand, falls from about 10% of spending for couples in their 60s (singles spend less) to about 4% once they reach their 80s.Footnote2 Understanding how your costs can change as you age can help you plan for future household expenses.
Next, add up all your potential income sources
As you explore how much money you may need in retirement, remember that the amount you decide to save and invest is only one component of your future retirement income.
Most Americans will have Social Security as the backbone of their retirement savings. (Even if benefit payments are reduced in the future, Social Security is not likely to go away.) And don't forget about other sources of income that may be available to you many years from now, including the money in your workplace and personal retirement accounts, pensions, annuities, proceeds from selling your home or business, rental income or an inheritance.
Plan ahead to close any gaps
Understanding your post-retirement expenses and potential income can help you estimate how much you may need to draw from your savings each year in retirement. However, it can be tough to turn that goal into a realistic amount to invest today when your goal may be decades away. To see where you are now and what you might need to change in the future, use the Merrill Personal Retirement Calculator. This checkpoint gives you a projection of your savings to see if there is a gap between what you'll have and what you'll need so you can adjust your strategy if necessary.
The difference 1% can make
A small change in retirement contributions could give you more savings after 30 years.
Chart illustrating how much more savings you will have over 30 years if you increase your savings rate from 5% to 6%. Click on the link below for a full description. With a $50,000 annual salary: After five years your account balance will be $15,748 if you save 5% and $18,897 if you save 6%; After 10 years your account balance will be $38,672 if you save 5% and $46,407 if you save 6%; After 20 years your account balance will be $120,630 if you save 5% and $144,756 if you save 6%; After 25 years your account balance will be $191,358 if you save 5% and $229,629 if you save 6%; After 30 years your account balance will be $294,321 if you save 5% and $353,185 if you save 6%.
Source: Chief Investment Office, April 2023. This hypothetical example assumes a salary of $50,000, 5% and 6% contribution rates at the beginning of each year, and a 7.8% annual effective rate of return. Hypothetical results are for illustrative purposes only and are not meant to represent the past or future performance of any specific investment vehicle. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate and, when redeemed, the investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Actual investing includes fees and other expenses that may result in lower returns than this hypothetical example. Taxes are due upon withdrawal. If you take a withdrawal prior to age 59½, you may also be subject to a 10% additional tax.
But even if this checkpoint shows that you're behind where you might be, don't get discouraged, advises Storey. You have options, such as taking advantage of catch-up contributions and reviewing your asset allocation and risk tolerance. Is there an opportunity to invest for more potential growth? If there's still a savings gap as you near retirement, you might want to explore working a little longer or working part-time during retirement. "If you need to save more, even a 1% increase can mean a lot over time," he says. Whatever you save and invest today for the long term can make a big difference in the future.
Estimating your retirement income needs is not an exact science. No matter your life stage or how much you've saved, a careful review of your expected needs and sources of income can help you prepare for the years ahead.
Next steps
- Try our Personal Retirement Calculator to find out if you're on track for retirement
- For guidance on how to assess your retirement readiness, learn about Merrill Guided Investing or connect with a Merrill advisor
- Check out 10 tips to help you boost your retirement savings — whatever your age
Footnote1 Chief Investment Office and Bank of America Retirement & Personal Wealth Solutions, "Financial Wellness: Helping improve the financial lives of your employees," 2023.
Footnote2 Michael Hurd and Susann Rohwedder, "Spending Trajectories After Age 65: Variation by Initial Wealth," December 2022.
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